Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Auxerre
22.0%
Draw
31.4%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Auxerre
vs
1.34
Metz
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).