Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.3%
Heidenheim
25.4%
Draw
16.3%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Heidenheim
vs
0.83
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).