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27 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.7%
Peterboro
22.0%
Draw
45.3%
Lincoln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Peterboro

vs
1.67

Lincoln

Markets

BTTS59.8%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
0-0
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).