Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Vicenza
33.6%
Draw
30.8%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Vicenza
vs
0.95
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.0%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).