Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.0%
Farnham Town
15.8%
Draw
10.2%
Sittingbourne
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Farnham Town
vs
0.76
Sittingbourne
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
1-0
10.5%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).