Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.2%
Milan
14.6%
Draw
6.1%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Milan
vs
0.49
Verona
Markets
BTTS34.6%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.2%
1-0
14.0%
3-0
12.7%
2-1
7.9%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-0
3.5%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).