Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.6%
Montpellier
19.1%
Draw
69.3%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Montpellier
vs
2.02
Lille
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
0-2
13.8%
0-3
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
9.0%
0-0
6.6%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
4.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).