Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.0%
Metz
14.7%
Draw
70.4%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Metz
vs
2.93
Marseille
Markets
BTTS69.4%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.579.8%
Over 3.561.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.1%
1-3
7.9%
0-2
6.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
2-3
5.2%
1-1
5.2%
0-1
4.4%
0-4
4.3%
2-4
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).