Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.9%
Cambridge
20.2%
Draw
67.9%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Cambridge
vs
1.79
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS35.1%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.8%
0-2
15.2%
0-3
9.1%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
0-4
4.1%
2-1
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
1-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).