Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Vallecano
30.3%
Draw
43.6%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Vallecano
vs
1.20
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).