Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Alaves
31.6%
Draw
20.7%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Alaves
vs
0.63
Albacete
Markets
BTTS31.5%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.552.3%
Over 2.525.8%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.6%
0-0
17.1%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
6.9%
3-0
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).