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05 Oct 2024 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Kasimpasa
39.9%
Draw
22.5%
Bodrumspor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Kasimpasa

vs
0.72

Bodrumspor

Markets

BTTS35.5%
Over 0.578.7%
Over 1.554.3%
Over 2.524.6%
Over 3.59.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
21.3%
1-1
16.1%
1-0
14.6%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).