Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.2%
Reading
12.4%
Draw
11.4%
Nailsea & Tickenham
Expected Goals (xG)
3.38
Reading
vs
1.34
Nailsea & Tickenham
Markets
BTTS71.2%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.594.8%
Over 2.585.0%
Over 3.569.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
4-1
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
3-2
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
4-0
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
5-1
4.4%
4-2
4.4%
1-1
3.9%
5-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).