Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.1%
Besiktas
28.3%
Draw
15.6%
Alanyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Besiktas
vs
0.89
Alanyaspor
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-1
3.3%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).