Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.5%
Empoli
21.2%
Draw
65.3%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Empoli
vs
1.87
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
0-4
3.9%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).