Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.9%
Fylde
19.1%
Draw
65.0%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Fylde
vs
2.46
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS63.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.2%
0-2
8.0%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-3
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
0-4
4.0%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).