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DHT: 11

11 Apr 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.4%
Westerlo
26.4%
Draw
34.2%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Westerlo

vs
1.32

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).