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14 Dec 2025 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.9%
Raków Częstochowa
29.7%
Draw
27.4%
Zagłębie Lubin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Raków Częstochowa

vs
1.02

Zagłębie Lubin

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).