Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
Ferrol
29.6%
Draw
45.6%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Ferrol
vs
1.21
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).