Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Genoa
24.9%
Draw
30.2%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Genoa
vs
1.20
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).