Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.5%
St Johnstone
23.2%
Draw
9.3%
Airdrie Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
St Johnstone
vs
0.60
Airdrie Utd
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.8%
1-0
13.9%
1-1
10.7%
3-0
9.5%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).