Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Getafe
29.0%
Draw
51.5%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Getafe
vs
1.33
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.1%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-0
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).