Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.1%
Lugo
32.4%
Draw
50.4%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Lugo
vs
1.11
Eibar
Markets
BTTS26.8%
Over 0.580.4%
Over 1.548.2%
Over 2.522.3%
Over 3.58.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.0%
0-0
19.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-3
4.5%
2-1
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-2
1.6%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).