Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
St Pauli
29.2%
Draw
27.3%
Bochum
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
St Pauli
vs
1.07
Bochum
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).