Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.2%
Stranraer
31.5%
Draw
58.3%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.36
Stranraer
vs
1.24
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS22.0%
Over 0.579.1%
Over 1.548.0%
Over 2.521.5%
Over 3.57.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
24.5%
0-0
20.9%
0-2
15.5%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
0-4
2.0%
2-1
1.6%
2-0
1.3%
2-2
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).