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18 Jan 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.8%
Rotherham
24.0%
Draw
50.2%
Charlton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Rotherham

vs
1.49

Charlton

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).