Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Salford
26.7%
Draw
32.9%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Salford
vs
1.11
Bolton
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).