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01 May 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.2%
Antwerp
29.6%
Draw
37.2%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Antwerp

vs
1.17

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.0%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).