Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Sabadell
29.7%
Draw
40.2%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Sabadell
vs
1.14
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).