Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Macclesfield
39.7%
Draw
24.2%
Stamford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Macclesfield
vs
0.54
Stamford
Markets
BTTS21.1%
Over 0.572.1%
Over 1.535.7%
Over 2.513.5%
Over 3.54.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
27.9%
1-0
20.9%
0-1
15.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-0
7.5%
0-2
4.1%
2-1
4.0%
1-2
3.0%
3-0
1.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-1
1.0%
0-3
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).