Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Crewe
29.4%
Draw
38.8%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Crewe
vs
1.08
Northampton
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).