Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.4%
Preston
32.0%
Draw
34.6%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Preston
vs
1.08
Stoke
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).