Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Ferrol
25.8%
Draw
56.6%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Ferrol
vs
1.51
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).