Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Rio Ave
28.6%
Draw
20.4%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Rio Ave
vs
0.83
Boavista
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).