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01 Sept 2024 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.4%
Pogoń Szczecin
25.5%
Draw
22.1%
Śląsk Wrocław

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Pogoń Szczecin

vs
1.07

Śląsk Wrocław

Markets

BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).