Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.1%
Barnet
19.8%
Draw
10.1%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Barnet
vs
0.70
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
1-0
11.6%
3-0
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).