Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Metz
14.8%
Draw
70.5%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Metz
vs
2.97
Marseille
Markets
BTTS70.1%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.8%
Over 2.580.5%
Over 3.562.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.9%
1-3
7.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-4
5.8%
0-3
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
2-3
5.3%
1-1
5.2%
0-4
4.3%
0-1
4.1%
2-4
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).