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DHT: 10CSV

12 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.4%
Arbroath
24.3%
Draw
4.3%
Stranraer

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Arbroath

vs
0.20

Stranraer

Markets

BTTS14.9%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.552.1%
Over 2.525.2%
Over 3.59.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
26.6%
2-0
20.7%
0-0
18.0%
3-0
10.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-1
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
5-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).