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19 Oct 2024 · 10:35

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.1%
Oleksandria
33.4%
Draw
27.5%
Vorskla

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Oleksandria

vs
0.79

Vorskla

Markets

BTTS35.1%
Over 0.583.0%
Over 1.554.0%
Over 2.526.9%
Over 3.510.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.0%
1-0
16.3%
1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.7%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
5.2%
3-0
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).