Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Wurzburger Kickers
26.0%
Draw
45.2%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Wurzburger Kickers
vs
1.69
Dresden
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).