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AHT: 01

22 Aug 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.2%
Fatih Karagümrük
33.9%
Draw
49.9%
Göztepe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Fatih Karagümrük

vs
1.38

Göztepe

Markets

BTTS41.2%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.4%
1-1
15.2%
0-1
14.0%
0-2
11.8%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).