Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.0%
Barnsley
16.2%
Draw
68.8%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Barnsley
vs
2.45
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.1%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
7.8%
0-3
7.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.0%
1-4
4.7%
0-4
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
1-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).