Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Hatayspor
28.8%
Draw
33.8%
Kasımpaşa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Hatayspor
vs
1.55
Kasımpaşa
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).