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AHT: 02CSV

11 Aug 2024 · 12:30

Celtic

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.1%
Hibernian
24.6%
Draw
38.3%
Celtic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Hibernian

vs
1.60

Celtic

Markets

BTTS63.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
0-0
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).