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12 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.7%
Wigan
28.6%
Draw
51.6%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Wigan

vs
1.20

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS30.9%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.553.1%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.511.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
20.7%
0-0
15.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.9%
1-2
7.2%
0-3
4.8%
2-1
3.6%
2-0
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
0-4
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).