Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Lecce
27.1%
Draw
11.5%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Lecce
vs
0.53
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS33.4%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
2-0
15.0%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-0
3.0%
1-2
2.7%
2-2
2.1%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).