Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Celta
20.7%
Draw
16.1%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Celta
vs
0.94
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).