Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Monaco
22.8%
Draw
15.1%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Monaco
vs
0.65
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
10.2%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
4-0
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).