Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Leganes
28.6%
Draw
28.8%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Leganes
vs
1.03
Valencia
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).