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AHT: 01CSV

31 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.7%
Dijon
12.4%
Draw
78.9%
Marseille

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Dijon

vs
2.89

Marseille

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.7%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
0-1
7.1%
0-4
6.8%
1-4
5.9%
1-1
5.5%
0-5
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
1-5
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).